THE FORECAST

SEGMENT DETAILS

Light Jet and Super Light Jet Segments

The Light Jet segment growth is forecasted to continue until 2017, with a peak of 280 aircraft deliveries, representing $2.1 billion during that year. Over the 10-year period the demand for Light Jets could generate 2,460 deliveries, representing 19% of business jet unit deliveries, and generate $18.5 billion, representing 6% of business jet revenues.

The Super Light Jet segment growth is forecasted to continue until 2017, with a peak of 220 aircraft deliveries, representing $2.5 billion during that year. Over the 10-year period the demand for Super Light Jets could generate 1,970 deliveries, representing 15% of business jet unit deliveries, and generate $22.7 billion, representing 8% of business jet revenues.
When compared to other business jet segments, the Light Jet and Super Light Jet segments’ value propositions rely on their relative low prices and low operating economics.

Midsize Jet and Super Midsize Jet Segments

The Midsize Jet and Super Midsize Jet segments’ value propositions rely on their combination of speed, range, comfort and price.
The Midsize Jet segment growth is forecasted to continue until 2017, with a peak of 210 aircraft deliveries, representing $3 billion during that year. Over the 10-year period the demand for Midsize Jets could generate 1,970 deliveries, representing 15% of business jet unit deliveries, and generate $29 billion, representing 10% of business jet revenues.
The Super Midsize Jet segment growth is forecasted to continue until 2017, with a peak of 160 aircraft

SEGMENT DETAILS
Large Jet, Super Large Jet, Ultra Long-Range Jet and Converted Airliner Segments
The larger business jet segments’ value proposition relies on a combination of comfort, speed and range to foster demand. Currently, the globalization of the business jet market has shifted the market demand toward larger aircraft that can travel longer distances. Business aviation customers also seem more willing to pay a premium for additional comfort and technology than in the past. This shift in preferences has driven the demand toward the larger market segments.
The Large Jet segment growth is forecasted to continue until 2017, with a peak of 140 aircraft deliveries, representing $4 billion during that year. Over the 10-year period the demand for Large Jets could generate 1,240 deliveries, representing 9% of business jet unit deliveries, and generate $34.5 billion, representing 11% of business jet revenues.
The Super Large Jet segment growth is forecasted to continue until 2017, with a peak of 150 aircraft deliveries, representing $5.4 billion during that year. Over the 10-year period the demand for Super Large Jets could generate 1,280 deliveries, representing 10% of business jet unit deliveries, and generate $46.4 billion, representing 15% of business jet revenues.
The Ultra Long-Range Jet segment growth is forecasted to continue until 2017, with a peak of 220 aircraft deliveries, representing $10.5 billion during that year. Over the 10-year period the demand for Ultra Long-Range Jets could generate 1,840 deliveries, representing 14% of business jet unit deliveries, and generate $87 billion, representing 29% of business jet revenues.
The Converted Airliner segment growth is forecasted to continue until 2017, with a peak of 100 aircraft deliveries, representing $3.5 billion during that year. Over the 10-year period the demand for Converted Airliners could generate 930 deliveries, representing 7% of business jet unit deliveries, and generate $32.8 billion, representing 11% of business jet revenues.

A Note on the Very Light Jet Segment
Depending on various conditions, such as the success of the Air Taxi business models and manufacturers’ ability to deliver on their declared production plans, the Very Light Jet segment could become the largest segment in terms of unit deliveries, with an average of 400 annual deliveries, or about 20% of the total units delivered, but only accounting for approximately 5% of the total business jet market revenues (up from 4% during the 1998-2007 period). The consensus within the aviation industry is that the expected wave of Very Light Jet deliveries will certainly have a tangible impact on business aviation with regard to air traffic
　
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本文鏈接地址：BUSINESS AIRCRAFT MARKET FORECAST 2008 – 2017