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(a) Liquidity risk
As at 31 December 2008, the Group’s current liabilities exceeded its current assets by RMB32,290 million. For the year ended 31 December 2008, the Group recorded a net cash inflow from operating activities of RMB1,155 million, a net cash outflow from investing activities of RMB7,790 million and a net cash inflow from financing activities of RMB7,460 million, and resulted in a net increase in cash and cash equivalents of RMB825 million.
In 2009 and thereafter, the liquidity of the Group is primarily dependent on its ability to maintain adequate cash inflow from operations to meet its debt obligations as they fall due, and its ability to obtain adequate external financing to meet its committed future capital expenditures. As at 31 December 2008, the Group had banking facilities with several PRC commercial banks for providing loan finance up to approximately RMB125,265 million (2007: RMB50,262 million), of which approximately RMB47,125 million (2007: RMB29,338 million) was utilised. The directors of the Company believe that sufficient financing will be available to the Group. The directors of the Company believe that the liquidity status of the Group will be further enhanced upon completion of the share subscription as mentioned in Note 51(a).
The directors of the Company have carried out a detailed review of the cash flow forecast of the Group for the twelve months ending 31 December 2009. Based on such forecast, the directors have determined that adequate liquidity exists to finance the working capital and capital expenditure requirements of the Group during that period. In preparing the cash flow forecast, the directors have considered historical cash requirements of the Group as well as other key factors, including the availability of the above-mentioned loan finance which may impact the operations of the Group during the next twelve-month period. The directors are of the opinion that the assumptions and sensitivities which are included in the cash flow forecast are reasonable. However, as with all assumptions in regard to future events, these are subject to inherent limitations and uncertainties and some or all of these assumptions may not be realised.
As at 31 December 2008, the Group’s recognised financial liabilities, bank and other loans, short-term financing bills, finance lease obligations, trade and bills payables and amounts due to related companies as disclosed in Notes 28, 32, 33, 34, 35 and 37 respectively, are not materially different from the amount determined based on contractual undiscounted cash flows (including interest payments computed using contractual rates or, if floating, based on rates current at the balance sheet date). During the year ended 31 December 2008, the Group had derivatives settled gross in respect of the forward foreign exchange contracts, of which the outflow amounted to RMB79 million (2007: Nil) and inflow amounted to RMB25 million (2007: RMB4 million).
ANNUAL REPORT 2008

128 ANNUAL REPORT 2008

(Prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards) (Expressed in Renminbi)

Notes to the Financial Statements

The interest rates and maturity information of the Group’s bank and other loans, short-term financing bills and finance lease obligations are disclosed in Notes 32, 33 and 34 respectively.
At 31 December 2008, it is estimated that a general increase/decrease of 100 basis points in interest rates, with all other variables held constant, would increase/decrease the Group’s loss after tax and accumulated losses by approximately RMB186 million (2007: would decrease/increase the Group’s profit after tax and retained earnings by approximately RMB279 million).
The sensitivity analysis above has been determined assuming that the change in interest rates had occurred at the balance sheet date. The 100 basis point increase or decrease represents management’s assessment of a reasonably possible change in interest rates over the period until the next annual balance sheet date. The analysis is performed on the same basis for 2007.
　
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