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2.0 HISTORICAL DEVELOPMENT OF AVIATION SAFETY
ANNUAL SAFETY REVIEW 2007 9
2.0 HISTORICAL DEVELOPMENT OF AVIATION SAFETY
The rate of accidents involving passenger fatalities in scheduled operations (excluding
acts of unlawful interference) per 10 million flights ranged from 19 (1988)
to 21 (1993) and showed no improvement from 1987 to 1993. From that year,
the rate dropped continuously until 2003, where it reached its lowest value, three.
After increases in 2004 and 2005, in line with the decreasing number of fatal accidents
the rate dropped in 2007 to four. It should be noted that the accident rate
for scheduled operations differs significantly per world region (Figure 3).
FIGURE 3 Rate of fatal accidents per 10 million flights per world region (2000–2007, scheduled passenger
and cargo operations)
Figure 3 shows the average rate of fatal accidents per 10 million flights from 2000
until 2007, per world region. The region of South America includes Central America
and the Caribbean. The regions of North America, East Asia and EASA MS
have the lowest rates of fatal accidents in the world.
North America
2.6
South America
10.4
Africa
49.6
Australia and New
Zealand
5.2
East Asia
3.6
Europe
Non- EASA MS
25.6
EASA MS
3.9
West and Central Asia
22.9
South and South-East Asia
16.1
10 ANNUAL SAFETY REVIEW 2007
This chapter reviews the aviation accident data for commercial air transport operations.
These operations involve the transportation of passengers, cargo or mail
for remuneration or hire. The accidents concerned involved at least one fatal injury
and an aircraft with a maximum certificated take-off mass (MTOM) exceeding
2 250 kg during the period 1998–2007. These aircraft may be aeroplanes or helicopters.
Aircraft accidents were aggregated based on the State of Registry. The use
of the aircraft’s registration mark to determine the geographic dispersal of accidents
has certain characteristics. For example, accidents involving EASA MS registered
aircraft were included, although the aircraft were operated by organisations
outside the jurisdiction of those States.
3.1 Aeroplanes
Several measurements can be used to assess the safety level. The number of accidents
involving at least one fatal injury can be one such measurement. Aircraft accidents
involving a fatality are random events and for this reason one year may
exhibit a significantly different number of accidents from the previous year.
TABLE 1 Overview of total number of accidents and fatal accidents for EASA MS registered aircraft.
Period
Number of
accidents
Of which, fatal
accidents
Fatalities on
board
Ground
fatalities
1996–2005
(average)
31 6 79 1
2006 (total) 39 6 146 0
2007 (total) 34 3 25 1
3.1.1 Fatal accidents
Figure 4 presents the number of accidents for EASA MS and for foreign (non-EASA
MS) registered aeroplanes. Regarding foreign registered aeroplanes, the number
of fatal accidents has increased from 36 in the year 2006 to 54 accidents in 2007.
The number of accidents in 2007 is higher than the decade (1998-2007) average
(52) but not one of the highest in the decade. The trend for the decade indicates
that the number of accidents worldwide is declining.
The number of fatal accidents involving aircraft registered in EASA MS has decreased
from six in 2006 to three in 2007. The number of accidents in 2007 is one
of the lowest in the decade, well below the average of six fatal accidents per year.
The number of accidents involving aircraft registered in the EASA MS represents
5 % of the total number of accidents worldwide that occurred in 2007.
3.0 COMMERCIAL AIR TRANSPORT,
AIRCRAFT OVER 2 250 KG MTOM
ANNUAL SAFETY REVIEW 2007 11
FIGURE 4 Fatal accidents—EASA MS and foreign registered
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