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Structure of the Report
Chapter Two examines China’s commercial aircraft market. It assesses the size of the current passenger aircraft market, summarizes projec-tions of its future growth, and analyzes factors that are likely to affect that growth, such as the availability of high-speed rail transport. It also describes the markets for cargo aircraft, helicopters, and fixed-wing general aviation in China.
Chapter Three describes China’s current commercial aircraft pro-duction capabilities, including those for commercial passenger aircraft, helicopters, and fixed-wing general aviation aircraft. Chapter Four analyzes the role of foreign firms in the development of China’s avia-tion manufacturing industry. It summarizes the policies of the Chinese government toward foreign companies, describes U.S. and other for-eign joint ventures and cooperative research and development (R&D) activities in China, and documents the extent to which China-based production supplies U.S. aerospace firms.
Chapter Five describes China’s commercial and military space capabilities. These include launch vehicles, communications satellites, weather satellites, civilian earth-observation satellites, military imagery reconnaissance satellites, and position, navigation, and timing (PNT) satellites. It also assesses the national security implications of China’s military space capabilities.
Finally, Chapter Six assesses the rate at which China’s aerospace sector has developed, considers aerospace capabilities that China will likely develop in the future, analyzes the potential for China’s civil-ian aerospace capabilities to contribute to the development of military aerospace capabilities, and assesses the implications for U.S. security interests.
ChApTeR TwO

China’s Commercial Aircraft Market
China is already the world’s second-largest national air travel market, trailing only the United States. This market, moreover, is likely to grow rapidly over the next two decades—an estimated 4,000 new passen-ger aircraft are expected to be purchased by Chinese airlines over this period. This represents approximately one-eighth of the total world demand during the next 20 years. The markets for cargo aircraft, gen-eral aviation, and helicopters in China, although significantly smaller than that for passenger aircraft, are also expected to grow rapidly in the coming years.
Current Conditions
In 2007, China’s major airlines1 booked more than 230 billion revenue passenger-kilometers (RPK), or almost 31 billion tonne-kilometers, flown. Passenger-kilometers and tonne-kilometers are standard mea-sures in the aviation industry, where the number of passengers flown or the total weight carried (including passengers) is multiplied by the dis-tance traveled. For comparison, China’s RPK is about 20 percent that of
U.S. airlines, more than the traffic carried by either German or Japanese
These airlines include Air China, Changan Airlines, China Cargo Airlines, China East-ern, China Southern, China Xinhua, and Hainan Airlines. The three government-created majors—Air China, China Eastern, and China Southern—account for about 85 percent of the Chinese airline traffic. Hainan Airlines accounts for roughly another 10 percent.
　
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本文鏈接地址：Ready for Takeoff China’s Advancing Aerospace Industry(10)